Crude Oil Price Forecast – November 12, 2024

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis and Short-Term Forecast

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WTI crude oil settled below the 62 percent retracement of the rise from $66.72 and the 20- and 50-day moving averages on Monday. The move down is poised to challenge the $67.3 smaller than (0.618) target of the wave down from $80.95. Taking out a minor target at $67.8 early tomorrow will clear the way for a test of $67.3. Settling below $67.3 will confirm a bearish outlook and call for the $66.1 smaller than target of the wave down from $77.7 to be challenged within the next few days.

That said, today’s long-legged doji reflects a bit of near-term uncertainty and warns that a test of Monday’s $69.2 midpoint might take place first. Closing above $69.2 will complete the long-legged doji and settling above $70.3 will confirm the pattern. This would warn that the move down is failing again and call for a test of key near-term resistance and the smaller than target of the wave up from $66.72 at $71.7.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.