Crude Oil Price Forecast – August 6, 2024

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis and Short-Term Forecast

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WTI crude oil tested and held major support and a bearish decision point for the coming months at $71.5 on Monday. This is an area where the move down could stall and a bullish reversal occurs. However, the move up from $71.67 has been shallow and choppy so far and looks like a simple correction.

Today’s candlestick reflects a bit of near-term uncertainty, but the outlook continues to lean bearish for WTI crude oil. Taking out the $72.5 smaller than (0.618) target of the wave down from $74.56 will call for another test and attempt to close below $71.5. Settling below $71.5 will open the way for tests of $70.7 and then another confluent and psychologically important target at $70.1 in the coming days.

Nevertheless, there is still a reasonable chance for a larger test of resistance first. Should WTI crude oil overcome the $74.0 smaller than target of the waves up from $71.67 and $72.2 look for a test of $74.7 and key near-term resistance at $75.2. Settling above $75.2 would call for an extended correction to challenge $76.1 and possibly higher.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.